Posts Tagged ‘European Union’

Greece and Portugal still at risk, Moody said

Tuesday, May 11th, 2010

A day after European leaders agreed on a $900 billion rescue package, credit rating agency Moody’s cautioned investors that two of the euro zone’s hardest hit countries aren’t out of the woods just yet.

In the last month, Moody’s has said several times that debt-strapped Greece and Portugal are under review for future downgrades to their credit ratings. But in a report to investors Monday, the agency said those downgrades could occur within a month.

Greece’s downgrade would probably be more “substantial” than previously indicated, with cuts to the Baa range, or just above junk status, the report said.

“This will depend on developments in the Greek economy once the fog of financial panic, support-mobilisation and street demonstrations dissipates,” Moody’s wrote. “The country’s debt is large but not unbearable; however, the required adjustment is obviously very painful, and short-term economic prospects are clearly dismal.”

Portugal’s possible downgrade is less severe than that of Greece, as Moody’s said it is considering a one-notch cut to Aa3 from Aa2. Both ratings are so-called investment grade and considered relatively low risk.

Both reviews will be decided on within the next four weeks, Moody’s said.

Last month, Moody’s cut the rating on Greece’s government bonds down one notch to A3 — still an investment grade, although not an entirely high-quality, level. At the time, Moody’s cautioned that further downgrades were possible as it continues to review Greece’s economic outlook.

Credit ratings are used by investors to evaluate the risk of a default on government bonds. The yield on Greek bonds recently soared to record highs, as investors worried that the country could default on its debt. Another cut to Greece’s credit rating could fan the flames of investors’ fears, making it even more difficult for the country to sell bonds.

In its report on Monday, Moody’s said it also has a negative outlook for Ireland, which is struggling with debt but has greater economic and institutional strength than some of the beleaguered countries in Europe’s “southern periphery.”

On April 27, another credit rating agency, S&P slashed Greece’s rating to junk status and a day later, it cut Spain’s rating to a low-rung investment grade. To top of page

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Greece announces cost cutting measures

Thursday, March 4th, 2010

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Facing firm demands from the European Union and financial markets to cut its deficit, Greece announced cost-cutting measures Wednesday that will save the debt-challenged country €4.8 billion, $6.53 billion, this year.

The Greek government plans to cut civil service workers’ entitlements by 12%. This includes a 30% decrease in holiday bonus payments, according to The Wall Street Journal’s online edition. Officials also said civil service pensions will be frozen for the year.

To increase revenue, the Greek government said it will raise the value-added tax to 21% from 19% on items including clothing and footwear. Sales tax on food and medicine will rise to 10% from 9% and the tax rate on printed products will increase to 5% from 4.5%.

The country will boost the tax on alcohol by 20% and raise the tax on tobacco to 65% from 63%. Taxes on gasoline prices will be hiked by €0.08 per liter.

Officials expect the measures will reduce Greece’s budget deficit to 8.7% of the country’s gross domestic product this year from a level of 12.7% last year, according to the report. The European Union had given Greece until March 16 to show it is making progress in cutting its deficit from more than four times the allowed level.

Umbrella union for civil servants ADEDY is already speaking out against the measures and has called for a 24-hour general strike on March 16, said the Journal.

In a speech to parliament Tuesday, Greek prime minister George Papandreou said the country risks bankruptcy if it neglects to find lenders to cover its €300 billion, $409 billion, in debt, the Journal said.

Greece is preparing to raise between €3 billion and €5 billion, $4.1 billion and $6.8 billion, in a 10-year bond sale. To top of page

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EU summit rejects more stimulus

Friday, March 20th, 2009

european-union

European Union nations on Thursday rejected in unison new spending projects to boost their recession-hit economies, standing firm against massive street protests demanding subsidies and U.S. suggestions to stoke growth with more aid.

Despite a million people marching in France and more bad company news hitting Europe’s industrial engine in Germany, EU leaders at a summit in Brussels said now was not the time to throw more money at the crisis – at least not until the effects of a first package of euro200 billion set in.

“We are unanimous in our views and we all agreed we are going to be prudent,” said the summit host, Czech Prime Minister Mirek Topolanek.

European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso claims that the bloc is spending 3.3 percent of gross domestic product this year and next year on efforts to improve the economy and sagging employment.

That includes unemployment benefits and job programs – the trusted cornerstones of Europe’s vaunted welfare state.

Barroso says those are making the difference in Europe, while less regulated economies like the United States have to spend much to start weaving a tighter social safety net.

The cautious European approach on government spending stood in contrast to the announcement Wednesday that the U.S.

Federal Reserve will launch a bold $1.2 trillion effort to increase the amount of money in the economy by lowering rates on mortgages and other consumer debt.

Topolanek said that around the summit table as the 27 leaders discussed outside pressure “we heard expressions like ‘not being dictated to by the United States’ or by those who want more fiscal stimulus.”

German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy argue that excessive public debt threatens global stability and countries must move swiftly to pay off debt when they can.

Despite taking no immediate action, the EU leaders sought to prepare themselves in case of bad news later this year.

Barroso said he expects EU nations to double a bailout fund for member states in trouble to euro50 billion ($68 billion).

Hungary and Latvia have already received euro9.6 billion from the fund, which raises money by selling bonds.

Germany opposes a much higher threshold for the emergency fund, arguing it would tempt countries into seeking bailouts when there is no real need.

Many member states from central Europe that joined only five years ago are scared, however, that their currencies could plummet further and rating agencies downgrade them – making it more expensive for them to borrow money.

While the EU leaders rejected major stimulus plans, they agreed on a euro5 billion energy package likely to include gas pipelines and plans to bury climate-damaging carbon, Barroso said.

He did not detail which projects won approval, though a final list was expected at the summit’s close Friday.

Again, Merkel had led opposition, warning of higher budget deficits despite the benefits for Europe’s environmental credibility.

The EU wants to be at the vanguard of U.N.-sponsored global warming talks in Copenhagen later this year.

EU leaders are seeking agreement Friday on how much aid to give to poor nations in exchange for support for a global climate change pact.

Environmental groups say the EU should contribute around euro35 billion ($47 billion) a year by 2020 to poorer nations to help them cut emissions.

On the economy, European governments already resisted a push for more spending from the U.S. at a summit of Group of 20 finance ministers last week, and Thursday’s stand underlined their position going into an April 2 summit of G-20 national leaders in London.

“You cannot solve everything by using taxpayers’ money. The huge deficit of the United States is a problem because it takes away resources for credit markets all over the world,” said Swedish Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt, who will take over the EU presidency in July.

The heavy impact of recession is hitting a growing number of Europeans.

When Sarkozy came to Brussels on Thursday, he had to leave his prime minister behind to deal with a nation hit by a wave of protests and strikes that disrupted transport and schools.

All shared a common demand: more action to counter the recession and unemployment.

More than 1 million people marched in cities and towns around France Thursday, and a few hundred youths showered police with bottles and stones at a big protest in Paris.

Meanwhile, news came that France’s economy is shrinking at its fastest pace in over 30 years.

Still, Premier Francois Fillon told the nation, “We cannot go beyond what we have done. The government has a duty to act responsibly.”

In Germany, companies piled on more bad results Thursday. Chemicals producer Altana AG turned literary Thursday, saying it was “caught in the maelstrom” of the global crisis, with profits in 2008 down 25 percent.

Britain appeared headed toward the worst employment outlook since World War II: The government announced Wednesday that joblessness rose to 6.5 percent in the three months ending in January, with the number of people out of work reaching its highest in a dozen years.

Against that backdrop Europe’s left is calling for more action.

“There is a broad agreement that we must do more than is in the package now,” said Poul Nyrup Rasmussen, the leader of the European Socialists.

“If we don’t do more we risk having 25 million unemployed people at the beginning of next year.”

About 18 million people are believed to be unemployed in the EU today, about 7.6 percent of the overall working population. – AFP

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